First League badgeFirst League · 17 July 2026AI PICK

Spartak Varna badgeSpartak VarnavsCSKA 1948 badgeCSKA 1948

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.1%
Market said
51.6%
Edge
+9.5 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +9.5%
Our model61.1%
The market51.6%

The market underrated this by 9.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model74.2%
The market80.0%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.5%Correct
Our model61.1%
The market51.6%
Edge
+9.5
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Spartak Varna (DNB)

Void
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model55.4%
The market49.8%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Spartak Varna Win

Edge +22.8%Miss
Our model41.8%
The market19.0%
Edge
+22.8
Odds
5.25

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

10.0%

1-2

7.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.