First League · 5 September 2026AI PICK
Spartak Varnavs
CSKA Sofia
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 86.7%
- Market said
- 64.9%
- Edge
- +21.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.54
The call, locked before kick-off
MissCSKA Sofia Win
Match Winner · best price 1.54
The market underrated this by 21.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Spartak Varna
CSKA Sofia
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Draw No Bet
CSKA Sofia (DNB)
- Edge
- +13.0
- Odds
- 1.27
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +7.4
- Odds
- 1.21
Match Winner
CSKA Sofia Win
- Edge
- +21.8
- Odds
- 1.54
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.8
- Odds
- 1.81
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.86
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.4%
1-1
10.0% · actual
2-1
7.5%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.