First League badgeFirst League · 6 May 2026AI PICK

Spartak Varna badgeSpartak VarnavsDobrudzha badgeDobrudzha

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
83.4%
Market said
60.6%
Edge
+22.8 pts
Best odds
1.65

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

High confidenceEdge +22.8%
Our model83.4%
The market60.6%

The market underrated this by 22.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Spartak Varna badge

Spartak Varna

Attack29
Defence30
Form22
Dobrudzha badge

Dobrudzha

Attack31
Defence45
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +10.4%
Our model85.0%
The market74.6%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
1.34

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.8%Correct
Our model83.4%
The market60.6%
Edge
+22.8
Odds
1.65

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +11.9%Miss
Our model66.8%
The market54.9%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
1.82

Draw No Bet

Spartak Varna (DNB)

Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Spartak Varna Win

Our model41.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-8.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.