First League · 30 August 2026AI PICK
Spartak Varnavs
Ludogorets
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 86.7%
- Market said
- 66.7%
- Edge
- +20.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.50
The call, locked before kick-off
MissLudogorets Win
Match Winner · best price 1.50
The market underrated this by 20.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Draw No Bet
Ludogorets (DNB)
- Edge
- +11.1
- Odds
- 1.24
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +7.4
- Odds
- 1.21
Match Winner
Ludogorets Win
- Edge
- +20.0
- Odds
- 1.50
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.76
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 1.84
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.29
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.5%
1-1
9.1% · actual
2-2
7.2%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.