First League · 17 August 2026AI PICK
Spartak Varnavs
Septemvri Sofia
0 - 1Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.9%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +6.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
MissSpartak Varna Win
Match Winner · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 6.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -6.7
- Odds
- 1.22
Draw No Bet
Spartak Varna (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Spartak Varna Win
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 1.85
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 2.08
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 1.91
Correct Score
Score: 2-0
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.69
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-0
10.0%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
10.0%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.