Spartansvs
Elgin City
3 - 3Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 55.3%
- Edge
- +3.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Spartans
Elgin City
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +2.7
- Odds
- 1.25
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Draw No Bet
Spartans (DNB)
- Edge
- -6.0
- Odds
- 1.58
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Spartans Win
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.98
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.29
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.2%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.