National League - North badgeNational League - North · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Spennymoor Town badgeSpennymoor TownvsMerthyr Town badgeMerthyr Town

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Over 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
57.8%
Markets called
2 of 4 right
Final score
2 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

MediumEdge -11.6%
Our model57.8%
The market69.4%

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Spennymoor Town badge

Spennymoor Town

Attack55
Defence32
Form33
Merthyr Town badge

Merthyr Town

Attack95
Defence57
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +16.5%
Our model72.1%
The market55.6%
Edge
+16.5
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Merthyr Town (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model57.8%
The market69.4%
Edge
-11.6
Odds
1.44

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market69.4%
Edge
-16.2
Odds
1.44

Match Winner

Merthyr Town Win

Edge +21.4%Miss
Our model51.7%
The market30.3%
Edge
+21.4
Odds
3.30

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.27

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.4%

1-1

10.1%

0-2

6.7%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.