Serie B badgeSerie B · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Spezia badgeSpeziavsSudtirol badgeSudtirol

6 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +4.5%
Our model62.3%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Spezia badge

Spezia

Attack37
Defence40
Form29
Sudtirol badge

Sudtirol

Attack47
Defence64
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.5%Miss
Our model62.3%
The market57.8%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Spezia (DNB)

Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Spezia Win

Our model38.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-11.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.