Primera División badgePrimera División · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Sport Boys badgeSport BoysvsAlianza Lima badgeAlianza Lima

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
48.7%
Edge
+5.9 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

LowEdge +5.9%
Our model54.6%
The market48.7%

The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sport Boys badge

Sport Boys

Attack43
Defence93
Form60
Alianza Lima badge

Alianza Lima

Attack68
Defence71
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Our model72.7%
The market78.1%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Alianza Lima (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Void
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market48.7%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.5%Close
Our model54.5%
The market42.0%
Edge
+12.5
Odds
2.35

Match Winner

Alianza Lima Win

Miss
Our model43.3%
The market48.8%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.14

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.5%

1-1

11.9% · actual

0-2

7.3%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.