Primera División badgePrimera División · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Sport Boys badgeSport BoysvsSporting Cristal badgeSporting Cristal

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
49.5%
Edge
+4.3 pts
Best odds
1.94

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.94

LowEdge +4.3%
Our model53.8%
The market49.5%

The market underrated this by 4.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sport Boys badge

Sport Boys

Attack52
Defence100
Form67
Sporting Cristal badge

Sporting Cristal

Attack56
Defence59
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.7%
The market75.8%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.32

Draw No Bet

Sport Boys (DNB)

Edge +6.1%Correct
Our model57.1%
The market51.0%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
1.96

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.3%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market49.5%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.94

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.5%
The market56.3%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Sport Boys Win

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model43.2%
The market38.8%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
2.58

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.4%

1-1

12.7%

1-2

8.4%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.