Serie B badgeSerie B · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Sport Recife badgeSport RecifevsCeara badgeCeara

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.6%
Market said
42.6%
Edge
+23.0 pts
Best odds
2.35

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35

MediumEdge +23.0%
Our model65.6%
The market42.6%

The market underrated this by 23.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sport Recife badge

Sport Recife

Attack82
Defence80
Form69
Ceara badge

Ceara

Attack70
Defence54
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +23.0%Close
Our model65.6%
The market42.6%
Edge
+23.0
Odds
2.35

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +14.6%Miss
Our model64.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+14.6
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Sport Recife Win

Edge +8.0%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Sport Recife (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.