Copa do Nordeste badgeCopa do Nordeste · 28 May 2026AI PICK

Sport Recife badgeSport RecifevsFortaleza EC badgeFortaleza EC

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.6%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+15.6 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +15.6%
Our model65.6%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 15.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sport Recife badge

Sport Recife

Attack64
Defence94
Form71
Fortaleza EC badge

Fortaleza EC

Attack55
Defence77
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.6%Close
Our model65.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+15.6
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.0%Miss
Our model64.6%
The market55.6%
Edge
+9.0
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Sport Recife Win

Edge +14.7%Miss
Our model59.1%
The market44.4%
Edge
+14.7
Odds
2.25

Draw No Bet

Sport Recife (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model9.0%
The market7.9%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
12.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.0%

1-1

8.1%

1-0

7.8%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.