Sport Recifevs
Operario-PR
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.8%
- Market said
- 45.7%
- Edge
- +10.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.15
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15
The market underrated this by 10.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.33
Draw No Bet
Operario-PR (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.1
- Odds
- 2.15
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Operario-PR Win
- Edge
- +16.1
- Odds
- 4.20
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.76
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-1
7.7%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.