Segunda Liga · 15 August 2026AI PICK
Sporting CP Bvs
Chaves
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 52.3%
- Edge
- +5.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Sporting CP B
Chaves
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +3.6
- Odds
- 1.46
Draw No Bet
Chaves (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.5
- Odds
- 1.85
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.0
- Odds
- 2.05
Match Winner
Chaves Win
- Edge
- +4.2
- Odds
- 2.57
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -2.3
- Odds
- 5.58
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
15.6%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.6%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.