Segunda Liga badgeSegunda Liga · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Sporting CP B badgeSporting CP BvsFarense badgeFarense

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
58.7%
Edge
+2.6 pts
Best odds
1.66

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66

MediumEdge +2.6%
Our model61.3%
The market58.7%

The market underrated this by 2.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sporting CP B badge

Sporting CP B

Attack28
Defence68
Form47
Farense badge

Farense

Attack61
Defence30
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.6%Close
Our model61.3%
The market58.7%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.66

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Miss
Our model59.9%
The market69.0%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.45

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model52.5%
The market52.5%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.87

Draw No Bet

Farense (DNB)

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model50.1%
The market48.8%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
2.05

Match Winner

Farense Win

Miss
Our model30.0%
The market36.9%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
2.71

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model16.0%
The market18.4%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
5.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.0%

0-0

15.1%

1-1

13.9%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.