Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Sporting CP badgeSporting CPvsAlverca badgeAlverca

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Over 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
60.0%
Markets called
5 of 5 right
Final score
3 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

MediumEdge -7.3%
Our model60.0%
The market67.3%

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Sporting CP badge

Sporting CP

Attack100
Defence75
Form89
Alverca badge

Alverca

Attack38
Defence87
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model83.5%
The market97.1%
Edge
-13.6
Odds
1.03

Draw No Bet

Sporting CP (DNB)

Correct
Our model77.2%
The market91.7%
Edge
-14.5
Odds
1.09

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model60.0%
The market67.3%
Edge
-7.3
Odds
1.44

Match Winner

Sporting CP Win

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
-27.3
Odds
1.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.7%Correct
Our model52.7%
The market48.0%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 4-1

Close
Our model8.0%
The market9.3%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

4-1

8.0%

3-1

8.0% · actual

4-0

7.3%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.