Primera División badgePrimera División · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Sporting Cristal badgeSporting CristalvsJuan Pablo II College badgeJuan Pablo II College

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
36.1%
Edge
+17.7 pts
Best odds
2.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.70

LowEdge +17.7%
Our model53.8%
The market36.1%

The market underrated this by 17.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sporting Cristal badge

Sporting Cristal

Attack43
Defence46
Form39
Juan Pablo II College badge

Juan Pablo II College

Attack38
Defence37
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.8%
The market93.5%
Edge
-18.7
Odds
1.07

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.7%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market36.1%
Edge
+17.7
Odds
2.70

Draw No Bet

Sporting Cristal (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market50.2%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Sporting Cristal Win

Correct
Our model43.3%
The market80.0%
Edge
-36.7
Odds
1.25

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Close
Our model11.3%
The market13.1%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.66

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.3%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

11.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.