Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Sporting Gijon badgeSporting GijonvsAD Ceuta FC badgeAD Ceuta FC

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.3%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+3.7 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +3.7%
Our model59.3%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sporting Gijon badge

Sporting Gijon

Attack51
Defence61
Form42
AD Ceuta FC badge

AD Ceuta FC

Attack49
Defence35
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model59.3%
The market55.6%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Sporting Gijon Win

Edge +6.3%Miss
Our model56.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model52.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Sporting Gijon (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.