Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Sporting Gijon badgeSporting GijonvsAlmeria badgeAlmeria

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.0%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+3.6 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge +3.6%
Our model69.0%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sporting Gijon badge

Sporting Gijon

Attack50
Defence52
Form36
Almeria badge

Almeria

Attack81
Defence41
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model69.0%
The market65.4%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model65.7%
The market65.4%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Sporting Gijon (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Sporting Gijon Win

Edge +11.6%
Our model36.0%
The market24.4%
Edge
+11.6
Odds
4.10

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model9.0%
The market7.9%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
12.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.0%

1-1

7.3%

0-1

7.0%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.