Segunda División · 23 August 2026AI PICK
Sporting Gijonvs
Burgos
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 40.0%
- Edge
- +19.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.35
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35
The market underrated this by 19.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Sporting Gijon
Burgos
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -3.0
- Odds
- 1.37
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +19.4
- Odds
- 2.35
Draw No Bet
Sporting Gijon (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.3
- Odds
- 1.57
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.4
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Sporting Gijon Win
- Edge
- +0.4
- Odds
- 2.40
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.38
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
7.2%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.