Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Sporting Gijon badgeSporting GijonvsGirona badgeGirona

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Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+12.4 pts
Best odds
2.01

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.01

MediumEdge +12.4%
Our model61.2%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 12.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sporting Gijon badge

Sporting Gijon

Attack64
Defence47
Form54
Girona badge

Girona

Attack80
Defence31
Form37

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +2.0%Correct
Our model76.1%
The market74.1%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
1.35

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.4%Close
Our model61.2%
The market48.8%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
2.01

Draw No Bet

Girona (DNB)

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model56.8%
The market53.2%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.88

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.3%
The market56.0%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Girona Win

Edge +4.0%Correct
Our model43.2%
The market39.2%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
2.55

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

10.0%

2-1

7.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.