Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 17 August 2026AI PICK

Sporting Gijon badgeSporting GijonvsSabadell badgeSabadell

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
44.1%
Edge
+13.7 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +13.7%
Our model57.8%
The market44.1%

The market underrated this by 13.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.1%
The market83.3%
Edge
-11.2
Odds
1.20

Draw No Bet

Sporting Gijon (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Void
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.7%Miss
Our model57.8%
The market44.1%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.2%Miss
Our model53.2%
The market49.0%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Sporting Gijon Win

Miss
Our model49.4%
The market54.6%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.08

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

9.8%

2-0

7.4%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.