USL Championship · 5 September 2026AI PICK
Sporting JAXvs
Lexington
3 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 59.2%
- Edge
- +2.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.64
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.64
The market underrated this by 2.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Sporting JAX
Lexington
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -6.6
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 1.64
Draw No Bet
Lexington (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.4
- Odds
- 1.62
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.55
Match Winner
Lexington Win
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.99
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
7.8%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.