USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 15 July 2026AI PICK

Sporting JAX badgeSporting JAXvsPittsburgh Riverhounds badgePittsburgh Riverhounds

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.9%
Market said
51.4%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +4.5%
Our model55.9%
The market51.4%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sporting JAX badge

Sporting JAX

Attack41
Defence27
Form14
Pittsburgh Riverhounds badge

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Attack42
Defence93
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right, 1 close

Draw No Bet

Sporting JAX (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.5%Close
Our model55.9%
The market51.4%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market55.4%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
1.80

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model50.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Sporting JAX Win

Edge +13.2%Correct
Our model39.9%
The market26.7%
Edge
+13.2
Odds
3.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.0%

1-1

14.5%

0-0

9.9%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.