Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 23 July 2026AI PICK

Sporting Kansas City badgeSporting Kansas CityvsMinnesota United FC badgeMinnesota United FC

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
39.7%
Edge
+15.8 pts
Best odds
2.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.50

MediumEdge +15.8%
Our model55.5%
The market39.7%

The market underrated this by 15.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sporting Kansas City badge

Sporting Kansas City

Attack32
Defence32
Form24
Minnesota United FC badge

Minnesota United FC

Attack37
Defence48
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.8%Close
Our model55.5%
The market39.7%
Edge
+15.8
Odds
2.50

Draw No Bet

Minnesota United FC (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.2%
The market65.1%
Edge
-10.9
Odds
1.50

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market55.6%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Minnesota United FC Win

Miss
Our model39.2%
The market51.3%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.95

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model9.2%
The market10.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.46

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.2%

1-1

14.8%

0-0

10.8%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.