Primera División badgePrimera División · 18 August 2026AI PICK

Sporting San Jose badgeSporting San JosevsEscorpiones Belén badgeEscorpiones Belén

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+5.8 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +5.8%
Our model58.4%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 5.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sporting San Jose badge

Sporting San Jose

Attack24
Defence32
Form13
Escorpiones Belén badge

Escorpiones Belén

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +0.7%Miss
Our model72.1%
The market71.4%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Escorpiones Belén (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.8%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market52.6%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Escorpiones Belén Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model16.3%
The market18.8%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.3%

0-0

16.6%

1-1

14.2%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.