Division Profesional - Apertura badgeDivision Profesional - Apertura · 20 April 2026AI PICK

Sportivo Ameliano badgeSportivo AmelianovsNacional Asuncion badgeNacional Asuncion

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.3%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+10.7 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +10.7%
Our model58.3%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sportivo Ameliano badge

Sportivo Ameliano

Attack50
Defence82
Form58
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Nacional Asuncion

Attack57
Defence52
Form45

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.7%Correct
Our model58.3%
The market47.6%
Edge
+10.7
Odds
2.10

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.0%Close
Our model50.5%
The market38.5%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
2.60

Match Winner

Sportivo Ameliano Win

Miss
Our model49.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Sportivo Ameliano (DNB)

Void
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.