Sportivo Amelianovs
Nacional Asuncion
1 - 1Correct
Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 55.5%
- Markets called
- 3 of 4 right
- Final score
- 1 - 1
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57
MediumEdge -8.1%
Our model55.5%
The market63.6%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model73.0%
The market69.4%
- Edge
- +3.6
- Odds
- 1.44
Draw No Bet
Sportivo Ameliano (DNB)
Void
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model55.5%
The market63.6%
- Edge
- -8.1
- Odds
- 1.57
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +6.3%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market47.9%
- Edge
- +6.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Sportivo Ameliano Win
Edge +4.3%Miss
Our model42.8%
The market38.5%
- Edge
- +4.3
- Odds
- 2.60
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
Miss
Our model9.9%
The market11.3%
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 8.82
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
9.9%
1-1
14.3% · actual
0-0
9.9%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.