Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 8 May 2026AI PICK

Sportivo Carapeguá badgeSportivo Carapeguávs12 de Junio VH badge12 de Junio VH

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.9%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+8.8 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +8.8%
Our model62.9%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 8.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sportivo Carapeguá badge

Sportivo Carapeguá

Attack65
Defence34
Form67
12 de Junio VH badge

12 de Junio VH

Attack57
Defence100
Form87

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.8%Correct
Our model62.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
+8.8
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.2%Correct
Our model61.7%
The market46.5%
Edge
+15.2
Odds
2.15

Draw No Bet

Sportivo Carapeguá (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Sportivo Carapeguá Win

Miss
Our model46.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.2%
The market8.0%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.2%

1-0

8.9%

1-1

8.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.