Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 25 May 2026AI PICK

Sportivo Carapeguá badgeSportivo CarapeguávsAtlético Tembetary badgeAtlético Tembetary

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+5.3 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.3%
Our model59.4%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 5.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sportivo Carapeguá badge

Sportivo Carapeguá

Attack56
Defence31
Form48
Atlético Tembetary badge

Atlético Tembetary

Attack60
Defence58
Form54

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.3%Miss
Our model59.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.4%Miss
Our model52.9%
The market45.5%
Edge
+7.4
Odds
2.20

Match Winner

Sportivo Carapeguá Win

Edge +14.4%Correct
Our model50.8%
The market36.4%
Edge
+14.4
Odds
2.75

Draw No Bet

Sportivo Carapeguá (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.3%
Our model10.3%
The market9.0%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.16

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.3%

1-0

10.3% · actual

1-1

10.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.