Sportivo Carapeguávs
Encarnación
1 - 3Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 57.1%
- Edge
- +1.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 1.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Sportivo Carapeguá
Encarnación
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -2.7
- Odds
- 1.24
Draw No Bet
Sportivo Carapeguá (DNB)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.65
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -0.8
- Odds
- 1.87
Match Winner
Sportivo Carapeguá Win
- Edge
- -10.5
- Odds
- 1.90
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.5
- Odds
- 5.33
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
16.3%
0-0
16.6%
1-1
14.2%
We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.