Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 6 June 2026AI PICK

Sportivo Carapeguá badgeSportivo CarapeguávsIndependiente F.b.c. badgeIndependiente F.b.c.

0 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.3%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+4.2 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +4.2%
Our model58.3%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 4.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sportivo Carapeguá badge

Sportivo Carapeguá

Attack50
Defence36
Form47
Independiente F.b.c. badge

Independiente F.b.c.

Attack58
Defence47
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.2%Miss
Our model58.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Sportivo Carapeguá Win

Edge +7.0%Miss
Our model53.5%
The market46.5%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
2.15

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.4%Close
Our model50.5%
The market48.1%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
2.08

Draw No Bet

Sportivo Carapeguá (DNB)

Miss
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.2%
The market9.8%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.2%

1-0

10.6%

1-1

10.4%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.