Division Profesional - Apertura badgeDivision Profesional - Apertura · 15 May 2026AI PICK

Sportivo Trinidense badgeSportivo TrinidensevsCerro Porteno badgeCerro Porteno

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.3%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+3.7 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +3.7%
Our model58.3%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sportivo Trinidense badge

Sportivo Trinidense

Attack52
Defence51
Form38
Cerro Porteno badge

Cerro Porteno

Attack52
Defence72
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model58.3%
The market54.6%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.83

Draw No Bet

Sportivo Trinidense (DNB)

Correct
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.8%Correct
Our model50.5%
The market46.7%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
2.14

Match Winner

Sportivo Trinidense Win

Edge +12.3%Correct
Our model43.5%
The market31.3%
Edge
+12.3
Odds
3.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model11.2%
The market9.8%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.23

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.2%

0-1

10.6%

1-1

10.4%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.