Division Profesional - Clausura · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Sportivo TrinidensevsNacional Asuncion

1 - 1

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 57.8%
Market said: 41.7%
Edge: +16.1 pts
Best odds: 2.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.40

MediumEdge +16.1%

Our model57.8%

The market41.7%

The market underrated this by 16.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sportivo Trinidense

Attack78

Defence57

Form64

Nacional Asuncion

Attack47

Defence64

Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +2.7%Correct

Our model72.1%

The market69.4%

Edge: +2.7
Odds: 1.44

Draw No Bet

Sportivo Trinidense (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Void

Our model62.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +4.9
Odds: 1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.1%Close

Our model57.8%

The market41.7%

Edge: +16.1
Odds: 2.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.2%Correct

Our model53.2%

The market50.0%

Edge: +3.2
Odds: 2.00

Match Winner

Sportivo Trinidense Win

Edge +13.2%Miss

Our model51.7%

The market38.5%

Edge: +13.2
Odds: 2.60

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss

Our model9.8%

The market11.2%

Edge: -1.4
Odds: 8.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.8%

1-1

10.0% · actual

2-0

8.1%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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