Derde Divisie - Saturday · 16 May 2026AI PICK
Sportlust '46vs
Sparta Nijkerk
0 - 2Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.6%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +21.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 21.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Sportlust '46
Sparta Nijkerk
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +21.0
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Sportlust '46 (DNB)
- Edge
- -13.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Sportlust '46 Win
- Edge
- -13.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.42
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
1-3
6.6%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.