2. Bundesliga badge2. Bundesliga · 26 May 2026AI PICK

SpVgg Greuther Fürth badgeSpVgg Greuther FürthvsRot-Weiß Essen badgeRot-Weiß Essen

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.8%
Market said
60.2%
Edge
+13.6 pts
Best odds
1.66

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.66

High confidenceEdge +13.6%
Our model73.8%
The market60.2%

The market underrated this by 13.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

SpVgg Greuther Fürth badge

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Attack52
Defence50
Form47
Rot-Weiß Essen badge

Rot-Weiß Essen

Attack75
Defence37
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.6%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.6%Close
Our model73.8%
The market60.2%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.66

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.3%Miss
Our model68.2%
The market62.9%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
1.59

Match Winner

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win

Our model50.1%
The market53.8%
Edge
-3.7
Odds
1.86

Draw No Bet

SpVgg Greuther Fürth (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.3%
The market7.2%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.3%

2-2

7.1%

1-1

6.4%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.