Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 23 August 2026AI PICK

St. Louis City badgeSt. Louis CityvsHouston Dynamo badgeHouston Dynamo

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+0.6 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +0.6%
Our model59.4%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 0.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

St. Louis City badge

St. Louis City

Attack55
Defence61
Form67
Houston Dynamo badge

Houston Dynamo

Attack51
Defence100
Form74

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model67.5%
The market76.9%
Edge
-9.4
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market58.8%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

St. Louis City (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.6%
The market60.2%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
1.66

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market61.6%
Edge
-8.9
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

St. Louis City Win

Correct
Our model42.3%
The market48.8%
Edge
-6.5
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model8.8%
The market10.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.92

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.8% · actual

1-1

10.4%

1-2

7.4%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.