Major League Soccer · 17 July 2026AI PICK
St. Louis Cityvs
Sporting Kansas City
3 - 2Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.8%
- Market said
- 33.1%
- Edge
- +22.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.88
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.88
The market underrated this by 22.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -14.4
- Odds
- 1.12
Draw No Bet
St. Louis City (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +22.7
- Odds
- 2.88
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +4.6
- Odds
- 2.38
Match Winner
St. Louis City Win
- Edge
- -28.8
- Odds
- 1.42
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 7.78
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
10.8%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.