St Patrick's Athl.vs
Derry City
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.2%
- Market said
- 51.3%
- Edge
- +5.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.95
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95
The market underrated this by 5.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -10.7
- Odds
- 1.17
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.9
- Odds
- 1.95
Draw No Bet
St Patrick's Athl. (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +6.6
- Odds
- 2.05
Match Winner
St Patrick's Athl. Win
- Edge
- -15.5
- Odds
- 1.70
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.28
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.4%
1-1
12.5% · actual
2-0
7.2%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.