Premier Division badgePremier Division · 3 July 2026AI PICK

St Patrick's Athl. badgeSt Patrick's Athl.vsGalway United badgeGalway United

3 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.0%
Market said
52.9%
Edge
+4.1 pts
Best odds
1.84

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.84

MediumEdge +4.1%
Our model57.0%
The market52.9%

The market underrated this by 4.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

St Patrick's Athl. badge

St Patrick's Athl.

Attack55
Defence74
Form53
Galway United badge

Galway United

Attack61
Defence37
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model71.6%
The market85.5%
Edge
-13.9
Odds
1.17

Draw No Bet

St Patrick's Athl. (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.1%Miss
Our model57.0%
The market52.9%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.84

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model55.1%
The market58.1%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
1.65

Match Winner

St Patrick's Athl. Win

Correct
Our model36.4%
The market69.4%
Edge
-33.0
Odds
1.44

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Our model8.2%
The market9.5%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.2%

1-1

10.9%

1-2

8.2%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.