St. Truidenvs
Lommel United
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.7%
- Market said
- 52.9%
- Edge
- +2.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 2.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -7.3
- Odds
- 1.25
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.8
- Odds
- 1.80
Draw No Bet
St. Truiden (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
St. Truiden Win
- Edge
- -19.2
- Odds
- 1.60
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.73
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.1%
1-1
8.7% · actual
2-2
7.3%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.