I Liga badgeI Liga · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Stal Rzeszów badgeStal RzeszówvsPolonia Warszawa badgePolonia Warszawa

2 - 1
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.5%
Market said
51.0%
Edge
+11.5 pts
Best odds
1.96

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Polonia Warszawa Win

Match Winner · best price 1.96

MediumEdge +11.5%
Our model62.5%
The market51.0%

The market underrated this by 11.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Stal Rzeszów badge

Stal Rzeszów

Attack39
Defence31
Form31
Polonia Warszawa badge

Polonia Warszawa

Attack54
Defence41
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +1.9%
Our model81.3%
The market79.4%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.26

Draw No Bet

Polonia Warszawa (DNB)

Edge +14.4%Miss
Our model76.9%
The market62.5%
Edge
+14.4
Odds
1.60

Match Winner

Polonia Warszawa Win

Edge +11.5%Miss
Our model62.5%
The market51.0%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.96

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.6%
The market64.1%
Edge
-9.5
Odds
1.49

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.6%
The market61.8%
Edge
-7.2
Odds
1.57

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

0-1

8.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.