Derde Divisie badgeDerde Divisie · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Staphorst badgeStaphorstvsExcelsior '31 badgeExcelsior '31

2 - 4
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Model confidence
53.8%
Markets called
2 of 4 right
Final score
2 - 4

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.28

LowEdge -24.3%
Our model53.8%
The market78.1%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Staphorst badge

Staphorst

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Excelsior '31 badge

Excelsior '31

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model71.2%
The market75.2%
Edge
-4.0
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Staphorst (DNB)

Edge +1.6%Miss
Our model59.4%
The market57.8%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market78.1%
Edge
-24.3
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.7%
The market79.4%
Edge
-25.7
Odds
1.26

Match Winner

Staphorst Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market51.5%
Edge
-9.2
Odds
1.94

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.