Derde Divisie - Saturday badgeDerde Divisie - Saturday · 18 April 2026AI PICK

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0 - 4
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.4%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+14.8 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +14.8%
Our model67.4%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 14.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Staphorst badge

Staphorst

Attack44
Defence46
Form33
SC Genemuiden badge

SC Genemuiden

Attack56
Defence65
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.8%Correct
Our model67.4%
The market52.6%
Edge
+14.8
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.5%Miss
Our model65.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Staphorst (DNB)

Miss
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Staphorst Win

Miss
Our model39.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-10.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.