Eliteserien · 30 August 2026AI PICK

StartvsKFUM Oslo

4 - 1

Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 61.3%
Market said: 44.8%
Edge: +16.5 pts
Best odds: 2.21

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.21

MediumEdge +16.5%

Our model61.3%

The market44.8%

The market underrated this by 16.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Start

Attack30

Defence30

Form18

KFUM Oslo

Attack33

Defence47

Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +0.4%Correct

Our model71.8%

The market71.4%

Edge: +0.4
Odds: 1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.5%Miss

Our model61.3%

The market44.8%

Edge: +16.5
Odds: 2.21

Draw No Bet

Start (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Correct

Our model59.7%

The market56.5%

Edge: +3.2
Odds: 1.77

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +12.4%Miss

Our model54.0%

The market41.6%

Edge: +12.4
Odds: 2.35

Match Winner

Start Win

Correct

Our model41.8%

The market44.1%

Edge: -2.3
Odds: 2.27

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model11.8%

The market13.6%

Edge: -1.8
Odds: 7.38

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.8%

2-0

6.8%

2-1

6.8%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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