Championship badgeChampionship · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Stenhousemuir badgeStenhousemuirvsAlloa Athletic badgeAlloa Athletic

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.4%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+1.5 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +1.5%
Our model61.4%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 1.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Stenhousemuir badge

Stenhousemuir

Attack56
Defence86
Form64
Alloa Athletic badge

Alloa Athletic

Attack63
Defence46
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.5%Miss
Our model61.4%
The market59.9%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
1.67

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model57.5%
The market55.6%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Stenhousemuir (DNB)

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Stenhousemuir Win

Miss
Our model44.1%
The market54.3%
Edge
-10.2
Odds
1.84

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model9.5%
The market8.3%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.08

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

9.5%

0-1

9.1% · actual

1-0

9.1%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.