League One badgeLeague One · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Stevenage badgeStevenagevsOxford United badgeOxford United

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
53.1%
Edge
+0.7 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

LowEdge +0.7%
Our model53.8%
The market53.1%

The market underrated this by 0.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Stevenage badge

Stevenage

Attack26
Defence68
Form61
Oxford United badge

Oxford United

Attack63
Defence68
Form72

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.7%
Our model76.3%
The market74.6%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.34

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.7%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market53.1%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.7%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market46.0%
Edge
+7.7
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

Stevenage (DNB)

Miss
Our model50.1%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Stevenage Win

Miss
Our model38.2%
The market39.4%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
2.54

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Close
Our model11.1%
The market12.7%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
7.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

11.1%

1-1

11.2%

1-2

9.9% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.