Stevenagevs
Wigan
1 - 0Correct
Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Under 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 57.0%
- Markets called
- 4 of 5 right
- Final score
- 1 - 0
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62
MediumEdge -4.7%
Our model57.0%
The market61.7%
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Stevenage
Attack41
Defence61
Form60
Wigan
Attack46
Defence65
Form56
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model57.0%
The market61.7%
- Edge
- -4.7
- Odds
- 1.62
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Edge +9.5%Miss
Our model55.0%
The market45.5%
- Edge
- +9.5
- Odds
- 2.20
Draw No Bet
Stevenage (DNB)
Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
- Edge
- -7.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Stevenage Win
Correct
Our model49.0%
The market50.0%
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.