Úrvalsdeild badgeÚrvalsdeild · 27 April 2026AI PICK

Stjarnan badgeStjarnanvsValur Reykjavik badgeValur Reykjavik

2 - 4
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
79.6%
Market said
78.1%
Edge
+1.5 pts
Best odds
1.28

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.28

High confidenceEdge +1.5%
Our model79.6%
The market78.1%

The market underrated this by 1.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Stjarnan badge

Stjarnan

Attack89
Defence43
Form78
Valur Reykjavik badge

Valur Reykjavik

Attack52
Defence34
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.19

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.5%Correct
Our model79.6%
The market78.1%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model69.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
1.33

Match Winner

Stjarnan Win

Edge +18.0%Miss
Our model68.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+18.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Stjarnan (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Miss
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.