Premier League Cup badgePremier League Cup · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Stockport County U21 badgeStockport County U21vsStoke City U21 badgeStoke City U21

4 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
33.7%
Edge
+27.5 pts
Best odds
2.97

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.97

MediumEdge +27.5%
Our model61.2%
The market33.7%

The market underrated this by 27.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Stockport County U21 badge

Stockport County U21

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Stoke City U21 badge

Stoke City U21

Attack22
Defence45
Form28

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model81.6%
The market87.7%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.14

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +27.5%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market33.7%
Edge
+27.5
Odds
2.97

Draw No Bet

Stoke City U21 (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.4%
The market56.5%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.77

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +21.3%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market33.3%
Edge
+21.3
Odds
3.00

Match Winner

Stoke City U21 Win

Miss
Our model46.0%
The market49.0%
Edge
-3.0
Odds
2.04

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model15.1%
The market17.4%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
5.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

15.1%

1-1

13.2%

0-0

12.6%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.